Veracruz vs Celaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
32.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Veracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
VER
2 - 1
AME
21%
24%
55%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
DOR
2 - 1
VER
46%
26%
29%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
UDG
0 - 0
VER
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
VER
0 - 2
LOB
52%
25%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
TOR
2 - 1
VER
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
TOR
0 - 0
PUM
32%
28%
41%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
TOR
3 - 0
REB
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
LOB
1 - 1
TOR
41%
26%
34%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 1
TOR
50%
26%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
TOR
2 - 2
NEC
36%
29%
35%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |