Ventura County Fusion vs Santa Cruz Breakers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
12.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ventura County Fusion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
COC
5 - 1
VEN
88%
10%
3%
|
32 | 72 | 40 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2019 |
GSF
2 - 1
VEN
76%
15%
10%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
CFO
2 - 3
VEN
77%
16%
8%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2019 |
VEN
3 - 4
GSC
82%
12%
6%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
VEN
2 - 1
GSF
16%
20%
64%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | +4 |
Matches
Santa Cruz Breakers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
OCB
4 - 2
SCB
33%
23%
45%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
SCB
2 - 5
VEN
49%
21%
30%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
FRA
1 - 3
SCB
49%
22%
29%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
SCB
2 - 2
SEA
81%
12%
7%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
SDZ
2 - 3
SCB
28%
22%
51%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | +1 |