Serie B . Jor. 24

Venezia vs SPAL analysis

Venezia SPAL
68 ELO 66
5.5% Tilt -13.8%
426º General ELO ranking 2016º
23º Country ELO ranking 53º
ELO win probability
51.3%
Venezia
26.1%
Draw
22.6%
SPAL

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
Venezia
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
22.6%
Win probability
SPAL
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Venezia
+11%
-18%
SPAL

Points and table prediction

Venezia
Their league position
SPAL
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
19º
38
20º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Frosinone
80
80
100%
Genoa
71
72
100%
SSC Bari
66
66
100%
Parma
60
61
100%
Cagliari
60
60
100%
FC Südtirol
58
58
100%
Reggina
48
53
100%
Venezia
49
49
0%
Palermo FC
49
49
0%
Ascoli
11º
48
48
10º
100%
Modena
10º
48
48
11º
100%
Pisa SC
12º
47
47
12º
0%
Como
13º
47
47
13º
0%
Cittadella
15º
43
43
14º
0%
Ternana Calcio
14º
43
43
15º
0%
Brescia
16º
40
40
16º
0%
Cosenza
17º
40
40
17º
0%
SPAL
18º
38
38
18º
100%
Perugia
19º
37
37
19º
100%
Benevento
20º
36
36
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Venezia
SPAL
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Venezia
SPAL
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Venezia
Venezia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Feb. 2023
BEN
Benevento
1 - 2
Venezia
VNZ
57%
24%
19%
67 71 4 0
28 Jan. 2023
VNZ
Venezia
1 - 1
Cittadella
CTT
47%
27%
26%
67 68 1 0
21 Jan. 2023
VNZ
Venezia
0 - 1
FC Südtirol
FCS
53%
25%
22%
67 65 2 0
16 Jan. 2023
GEN
Genoa
1 - 0
Venezia
VNZ
59%
24%
16%
68 76 8 -1
07 Jan. 2023
LEV
B. Leverkusen
2 - 1
Venezia
VNZ
78%
15%
7%
68 86 18 0

Matches

SPAL
SPAL
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Feb. 2023
SPA
SPAL
3 - 4
SSC Bari
BAR
49%
26%
25%
67 68 1 0
27 Jan. 2023
CAG
Cagliari
2 - 1
SPAL
SPA
62%
23%
16%
67 73 6 0
21 Jan. 2023
SPA
SPAL
1 - 1
Ascoli
ASC
42%
26%
33%
67 70 3 0
14 Jan. 2023
REG
Reggina
0 - 1
SPAL
SPA
51%
27%
23%
66 69 3 +1
26 Dec. 2022
SPA
SPAL
0 - 1
Pisa SC
PIS
38%
26%
36%
67 72 5 -1
X