VELO vs HMSH analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
14.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VELO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
MAG
3 - 1
VEL
55%
21%
24%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
VEL
3 - 2
NIE
47%
22%
31%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
UVS
0 - 2
VEL
57%
21%
22%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
POO
0 - 1
VEL
38%
23%
39%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
VEL
2 - 2
SCN
45%
23%
33%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
HMSH
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
HMS
2 - 0
POO
57%
21%
23%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SCN
1 - 2
HMS
71%
17%
13%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
HMS
2 - 4
ZWE
64%
19%
18%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
NIE
3 - 2
HMS
12%
18%
70%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
HMS
3 - 3
TOG
56%
21%
24%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |