Velež Mostar vs Sarajevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
31.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
3º
11º
6º
52
2º
12º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velež Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
SLO
1 - 1
VEL
23%
28%
48%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
BBL
0 - 0
VEL
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
VEL
4 - 0
SLO
42%
26%
31%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
SLO
3 - 0
VEL
20%
26%
54%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SIR
0 - 0
VEL
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SAR
0 - 0
SIR
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ZRI
4 - 1
SAR
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
SAR
3 - 0
LEO
75%
17%
8%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
ZEL
2 - 2
SAR
38%
28%
35%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
SAR
1 - 1
SLO
73%
19%
9%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |