Velež Mostar vs Igman Konjic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
10%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
9º
3º
33
3º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
67.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velež Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
VEL
2 - 3
SIR
57%
22%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
VEL
1 - 1
SLO
62%
22%
17%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
SIR
2 - 1
VEL
33%
26%
41%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
POS
1 - 0
VEL
31%
28%
41%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
VEL
0 - 0
BBL
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Igman Konjic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 2
IGM
75%
17%
9%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
IGM
1 - 0
SIR
22%
28%
50%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ZRI
5 - 0
IGM
79%
14%
7%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
IGM
1 - 2
GOS
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
SLO
1 - 0
IGM
53%
22%
25%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |