Vega Real vs Jarabacoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
24.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vega Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
AFC
1 - 1
AVR
40%
30%
30%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
JAR
2 - 2
AVR
45%
28%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
AVR
2 - 2
AFC
44%
28%
28%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
AVR
1 - 1
CFC
41%
27%
32%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
AVR
1 - 2
SCR
55%
23%
22%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Jarabacoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
JAR
0 - 4
CFC
43%
28%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
JAR
2 - 2
AVR
45%
28%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
CFC
3 - 1
JAR
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
AFC
0 - 0
JAR
34%
30%
37%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
AFC
2 - 2
JAR
38%
30%
32%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |