Supercopa Libertadores Round 1

Vasco da Gama vs Santos FC analysis

Vasco da Gama Santos FC
79 ELO 81
19% Tilt 9.5%
150º General ELO ranking 121º
19º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
54.7%
Vasco da Gama
23%
Draw
22.3%
Santos FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
Vasco da Gama
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22.3%
Win probability
Santos FC
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vasco da Gama
-14%
-8%
Santos FC

ELO progression

Vasco da Gama
Santos FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Aug. 1997
SAN
Santos FC
3 - 1
Vasco da Gama
VAS
60%
21%
19%
79 81 2 0
20 Aug. 1997
ARN
América RN
0 - 0
Vasco da Gama
VAS
27%
26%
47%
79 68 11 0
17 Aug. 1997
VAS
Vasco da Gama
3 - 0
RB Bragantino
BRA
60%
21%
19%
79 77 2 0
03 Aug. 1997
VAS
Vasco da Gama
3 - 1
Fluminense
FLU
66%
19%
15%
78 73 5 +1
30 Jul. 1997
VAS
Vasco da Gama
2 - 0
Goiás EC
GOI
59%
22%
19%
78 79 1 0

Matches

Santos FC
Santos FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Aug. 1997
SAN
Santos FC
3 - 1
Vasco da Gama
VAS
60%
21%
19%
81 79 2 0
20 Aug. 1997
JUV
EC Juventude
1 - 1
Santos FC
SAN
41%
27%
32%
81 76 5 0
10 Aug. 1997
BRA
RB Bragantino
2 - 1
Santos FC
SAN
37%
28%
36%
82 77 5 -1
26 Jul. 1997
SPO
Sport Recife
1 - 1
Santos FC
SAN
34%
28%
39%
82 75 7 0
23 Jul. 1997
SAN
Santos FC
3 - 0
Grêmio
GRE
49%
24%
27%
81 84 3 +1