Copa do Brasil . 1/16
Global 4-1
Vasco da Gama vs Ponte Preta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
14.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
PPE
0 - 0
VAS
28%
28%
45%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2014 |
PPE
0 - 2
VAS
33%
27%
40%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
VAS
1 - 1
ARN
71%
19%
11%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2014 |
VAS
4 - 1
SAN
72%
19%
10%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
BOA
0 - 2
VAS
14%
24%
62%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
PPE
0 - 0
VAS
28%
28%
45%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2014 |
PPE
0 - 2
VAS
33%
27%
40%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
AVA
1 - 0
PPE
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2014 |
PPE
0 - 0
POR
44%
28%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
PPE
32%
28%
40%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |