Carioca 1 Copa Rio. Jor. 4

Vasco da Gama vs Macaé Esporte analysis

Vasco da Gama Macaé Esporte
76 ELO 42
-6.2% Tilt -17.4%
201º General ELO ranking 22078º
23º Country ELO ranking 550º
ELO win probability
83.5%
Vasco da Gama
12.7%
Draw
3.7%
Macaé Esporte

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.5%
Win probability
Vasco da Gama
2.42
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
14.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
18.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.1%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.5%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.7%
3.7%
Win probability
Macaé Esporte
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vasco da Gama
+11%
-5%
Macaé Esporte

ELO progression

Vasco da Gama
Macaé Esporte
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Mar. 2020
VAS
Vasco da Gama
0 - 2
Fluminense
FLU
39%
27%
34%
76 79 3 0
13 Mar. 2020
VAS
Vasco da Gama
0 - 1
Goiás EC
GOI
56%
23%
21%
77 70 7 -1
08 Mar. 2020
VOL
Volta Redonda
0 - 0
Vasco da Gama
VAS
18%
24%
58%
77 58 19 0
06 Mar. 2020
VAS
Vasco da Gama
1 - 0
ABC
ABC
77%
16%
7%
77 56 21 0
29 Feb. 2020
RES
Resende
1 - 1
Vasco da Gama
VAS
9%
20%
71%
77 46 31 0

Matches

Macaé Esporte
Macaé Esporte
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Mar. 2020
RES
Resende
0 - 1
Macaé Esporte
MAC
57%
23%
20%
41 46 5 0
07 Mar. 2020
MAC
Macaé Esporte
0 - 3
Madureira RJ
MAD
40%
25%
34%
42 45 3 -1
28 Feb. 2020
VOL
Volta Redonda
1 - 0
Macaé Esporte
MAC
74%
17%
9%
43 58 15 -1
08 Feb. 2020
BAN
Bangu
1 - 0
Macaé Esporte
MAC
51%
25%
24%
43 48 5 0
03 Feb. 2020
MAC
Macaé Esporte
1 - 0
Cabofriense
CAB
24%
24%
52%
42 52 10 +1
X