Série A . Semi-finals
Global 3-1
Vasco da Gama vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1984 |
GRE
1 - 0
VAS
57%
24%
19%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1984 |
VAS
4 - 3
POR
67%
20%
14%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1984 |
POR
2 - 5
VAS
46%
28%
27%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1984 |
VAS
1 - 0
UBE
78%
13%
9%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1984 |
FOR
1 - 5
VAS
39%
29%
31%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1984 |
GRE
1 - 0
VAS
57%
24%
19%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1984 |
GRE
3 - 1
NAU
65%
21%
14%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1984 |
NAU
2 - 3
GRE
40%
26%
34%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1984 |
GRE
2 - 0
GOI
61%
22%
17%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1984 |
ATP
1 - 4
GRE
39%
28%
34%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |