Vasco da Gama vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
24.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2019 |
CRZ
1 - 0
VAS
58%
24%
18%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
VAS
2 - 0
SAO
40%
28%
32%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
VAS
1 - 4
FLA
27%
26%
47%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2019 |
GOI
0 - 1
VAS
32%
28%
40%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2019 |
VAS
0 - 0
CSA
73%
18%
9%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
BAH
1 - 0
CSA
70%
20%
10%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
ATM
0 - 1
BAH
66%
20%
13%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
BAH
1 - 1
GOI
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
PAL
2 - 2
BAH
77%
16%
7%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
BAH
3 - 0
FLA
25%
26%
49%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |