Vasco da Gama vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.2%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.3%
3.6%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
VAS
4 - 0
BOA
85%
11%
4%
|
81 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2008 |
VAS
3 - 2
ITA
88%
9%
3%
|
81 | 40 | 41 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
FLA
2 - 1
VAS
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2008 |
ITA
0 - 1
VAS
7%
16%
76%
|
81 | 40 | 41 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
VAS
5 - 1
CAB
84%
11%
4%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
DUQ
1 - 0
AME
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
VOL
0 - 1
DUQ
48%
24%
27%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
DUQ
2 - 2
BOA
40%
25%
36%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
MAC
2 - 0
DUQ
53%
23%
24%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2008 |
DUQ
1 - 2
CAM
72%
18%
10%
|
51 | 27 | 24 | 0 |