Vasco da Gama vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.4%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
29.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 1974 |
VAS
2 - 2
SCI
43%
29%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1974 |
CRZ
1 - 1
VAS
56%
28%
17%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 1974 |
VAS
2 - 1
SAN
36%
30%
34%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 1974 |
VIT
0 - 0
VAS
49%
26%
26%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1974 |
VAS
2 - 0
COR
47%
29%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 1974 |
SAN
1 - 3
CRZ
54%
26%
20%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1974 |
CRZ
1 - 1
VAS
56%
28%
17%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 1974 |
SCI
1 - 1
CRZ
44%
30%
26%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1974 |
BAH
0 - 1
CRZ
30%
32%
39%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 1974 |
FLA
1 - 3
CRZ
48%
24%
28%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |