Vasco da Gama vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
21.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
VAS
2 - 0
SCI
34%
26%
40%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
COR
2 - 1
VAS
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
VAS
0 - 3
CRZ
30%
26%
44%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
ATL
0 - 1
VAS
36%
25%
39%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
GRE
1 - 1
VAS
58%
22%
21%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
ATP
0 - 0
AVA
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
SCI
1 - 0
ATP
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2011 |
FLU
3 - 1
ATP
60%
23%
18%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
ATP
0 - 2
BAH
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
FFL
2 - 0
ATP
44%
25%
30%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |