Vasco da Gama vs Puerto Cabello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
9.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
COR
3 - 0
VAS
49%
25%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2025 |
MEL
3 - 3
VAS
28%
27%
45%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
VAS
2 - 1
SAN
49%
25%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
FLA
2 - 1
VAS
53%
24%
23%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2025 |
NOV
0 - 3
VAS
12%
24%
64%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Puerto Cabello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
DEP
0 - 0
APC
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
APC
2 - 2
LAN
25%
26%
50%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
APC
0 - 0
AAF
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
CFC
0 - 0
APC
44%
28%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2025 |
APC
1 - 0
DRZ
56%
24%
19%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |