Segunda Liga . Jor. 28

Varzim vs Sporting Braga II analysis

Varzim Sporting Braga II
61 ELO 59
-13.9% Tilt -4.8%
4622º General ELO ranking 4298º
69º Country ELO ranking 66º
ELO win probability
49.2%
Varzim
27.3%
Draw
23.5%
Sporting Braga II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
Varzim
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
23.5%
Win probability
Sporting Braga II
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Varzim
-30%
+47%
Sporting Braga II

ELO progression

Varzim
Sporting Braga II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Varzim
Varzim
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Feb. 2017
SCP
Sporting CP II
1 - 2
Varzim
VAR
40%
26%
34%
61 54 7 0
11 Feb. 2017
VAR
Varzim
1 - 0
Leixões
LEX
50%
28%
22%
61 58 3 0
05 Feb. 2017
AVE
Desportivo Aves
1 - 2
Varzim
VAR
56%
25%
19%
60 66 6 +1
28 Jan. 2017
VAR
Varzim
1 - 1
Academico Viseu
ACV
54%
26%
21%
60 54 6 0
23 Jan. 2017
BEN
Benfica II
1 - 2
Varzim
VAR
55%
24%
22%
59 59 0 +1

Matches

Sporting Braga II
Sporting Braga II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Feb. 2017
BRA
Sporting Braga II
5 - 0
Vizela
VIZ
48%
27%
26%
57 58 1 0
11 Feb. 2017
FAM
Famalicão
2 - 0
Sporting Braga II
BRA
50%
26%
24%
57 57 0 0
04 Feb. 2017
BRA
Sporting Braga II
0 - 1
SC Covilha
SPC
47%
27%
26%
58 61 3 -1
28 Jan. 2017
COV
Cova Piedade
1 - 1
Sporting Braga II
BRA
33%
29%
38%
58 53 5 0
21 Jan. 2017
BRA
Sporting Braga II
3 - 1
União Madeira
UNM
43%
27%
30%
57 60 3 +1
X