Varzim vs Rio Ave analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
55.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
ACA
1 - 1
VAR
62%
23%
15%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
VAR
2 - 2
CHA
24%
27%
49%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
VAR
1 - 1
RIO
16%
23%
61%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 0
VAR
77%
16%
8%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2021 |
VAR
0 - 1
ESA
43%
24%
33%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
FAR
1 - 1
RIO
30%
28%
42%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
RIO
5 - 1
ACA
59%
25%
17%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
ARO
0 - 1
RIO
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
VAR
1 - 1
RIO
16%
23%
61%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
RIO
0 - 2
ARO
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |