Varzim vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
27.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
MAF
1 - 1
VAR
36%
28%
37%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
VAR
1 - 1
SAN
48%
29%
23%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
SPC
2 - 1
VAR
56%
24%
19%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2015 |
VAR
0 - 1
FEI
31%
29%
39%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
FAR
0 - 0
VAR
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ORI
0 - 1
PEN
34%
27%
39%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
LEX
3 - 3
ORI
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
ORI
0 - 1
FAM
38%
28%
34%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2015 |
OLH
1 - 0
ORI
46%
27%
27%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ORI
2 - 1
SCF
34%
29%
38%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |