Varzim vs Gil Vicente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
35.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
VAR
1 - 2
POR
22%
23%
55%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 2
BEL
20%
23%
57%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 1
VAR
74%
18%
9%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2017 |
VAR
1 - 0
SPB
14%
23%
63%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 3
VIZ
55%
27%
19%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
GFC
0 - 3
RIO
17%
24%
59%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 0
GFC
73%
18%
10%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2017 |
BRA
1 - 1
GFC
53%
23%
24%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2017 |
GFC
0 - 0
MOR
21%
24%
56%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
GFC
0 - 2
FAM
52%
27%
22%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |