Varzim vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
53.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1983 |
POR
1 - 1
VAR
66%
22%
13%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1983 |
VAR
0 - 0
EST
60%
24%
16%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1983 |
GDA
0 - 2
VAR
37%
30%
33%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 1983 |
VAR
1 - 1
SAL
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1983 |
AMO
0 - 0
VAR
48%
28%
25%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1983 |
ROM
1 - 2
SLB
46%
27%
28%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1983 |
SLB
3 - 0
EST
88%
9%
3%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1983 |
LEX
1 - 2
SLB
14%
22%
65%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1983 |
SAL
0 - 1
SLB
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1983 |
SLB
1 - 1
VST
85%
10%
4%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |