Vard vs Haugesund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
65.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
VAR
1 - 2
FOL
52%
22%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2013 |
VAR
2 - 2
KON
38%
25%
37%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2013 |
SDF
3 - 1
VAR
75%
17%
8%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2013 |
VAR
0 - 3
HAM
27%
24%
50%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
STR
3 - 2
VAR
47%
24%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Haugesund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
LSK
3 - 0
HAU
35%
25%
41%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2013 |
HAU
0 - 1
SOG
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2013 |
MFK
1 - 5
HAU
56%
23%
22%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
HAU
1 - 0
VIF
53%
22%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
VKG
0 - 0
HAU
42%
26%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |