Tercera Playoffs . Quarter-finals
Global 1-2
CD Valle de Egüés vs Rayo Cantabria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
31.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Valle de Egüés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 4
CHA
57%
22%
21%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
VAL
0 - 0
TUD
27%
25%
49%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
IZA
2 - 0
VAL
61%
21%
18%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
VAL
3 - 2
PEN
78%
14%
8%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 1
SJU
63%
21%
16%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Cantabria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
ARE
1 - 7
RAC
17%
21%
62%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
RAC
4 - 1
BEZ
65%
21%
14%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
PON
3 - 1
RAC
10%
19%
71%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | -2 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
RAC
1 - 1
ESC
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
RAY
0 - 0
RAC
25%
24%
51%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -1 |