Copa del Rey 1/16

Global 7-3

Real Valladolid vs Hércules analysis

Real Valladolid Hércules
85 ELO 78
-8% Tilt 9.2%
238º General ELO ranking 2294º
29º Country ELO ranking 73º
ELO win probability
59.3%
Real Valladolid
23.6%
Draw
17.1%
Hércules

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
Real Valladolid
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
17.1%
Win probability
Hércules
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO progression

Real Valladolid
Hércules
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Real Valladolid
Real Valladolid
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Nov. 2008
FCB
Barcelona
6 - 0
Real Valladolid
VAD
76%
15%
9%
86 94 8 0
02 Nov. 2008
VAD
Real Valladolid
3 - 2
Sevilla
SEV
22%
27%
51%
85 93 8 +1
29 Oct. 2008
HER
Hércules
1 - 5
Real Valladolid
VAD
35%
27%
38%
85 79 6 0
26 Oct. 2008
GET
Getafe
1 - 0
Real Valladolid
VAD
55%
24%
22%
85 88 3 0
19 Oct. 2008
VAD
Real Valladolid
1 - 1
Recreativo
REC
46%
27%
27%
85 85 0 0

Matches

Hércules
Hércules
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Nov. 2008
HER
Hércules
0 - 0
Xerez CD
XER
52%
25%
23%
78 77 1 0
02 Nov. 2008
SEV
Sevilla At.
1 - 2
Hércules
HER
32%
28%
40%
78 67 11 0
29 Oct. 2008
HER
Hércules
1 - 5
Real Valladolid
VAD
35%
27%
38%
79 85 6 -1
26 Oct. 2008
HER
Hércules
3 - 0
Deportivo Alavés
ALA
49%
26%
25%
78 77 1 +1
19 Oct. 2008
HER
Hércules
0 - 0
Elche
ELC
60%
23%
17%
78 71 7 0