Valenzana Calcio vs AC Montichiari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
49.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenzana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 0
VAL
78%
16%
7%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
RIM
1 - 0
VAL
83%
12%
4%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 0
SAV
18%
25%
58%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
VIN
1 - 0
VAL
58%
24%
18%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
VAL
3 - 0
LEC
34%
27%
38%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
AC Montichiari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
ACS
0 - 1
ACM
41%
26%
33%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ACM
1 - 1
ACD
28%
28%
45%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ACM
2 - 3
BOR
46%
25%
30%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ACG
2 - 2
ACM
46%
26%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
USP
5 - 2
ACM
37%
28%
35%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |