Valenciennes vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
31.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1962 |
MON
3 - 1
VAL
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1962 |
VAL
0 - 0
SFP
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1962 |
FCR
3 - 2
VAL
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
MAR
1 - 3
VAL
55%
22%
23%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1962 |
VAL
4 - 0
STR
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1962 |
TFC
2 - 1
MPL
60%
20%
20%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1962 |
TFC
3 - 1
MAR
63%
20%
18%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1962 |
SFP
1 - 2
TFC
58%
21%
22%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1962 |
NÎM
3 - 1
TFC
64%
19%
17%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1962 |
TFC
4 - 0
NIC
47%
23%
31%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |