Valenciennes vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
26.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 1
LIL
24%
26%
50%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
DIJ
1 - 2
VAL
39%
27%
35%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 2
AJA
58%
24%
17%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
VAL
3 - 1
BAS
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
GIR
2 - 1
VAL
55%
25%
20%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
ASN
0 - 0
REN
37%
27%
36%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
AUX
1 - 3
ASN
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
ASN
2 - 2
LOR
36%
26%
37%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
REN
3 - 0
ASN
57%
24%
19%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2011 |
ASN
1 - 3
MAR
18%
24%
58%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |