Valencia Mestalla vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
NOV
0 - 1
VAL
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
GRA
3 - 1
VAL
45%
28%
28%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2003 |
VAL
2 - 1
HOS
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
SAB
0 - 2
VAL
39%
29%
32%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2002 |
VAL
1 - 2
LLE
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2003 |
HER
0 - 0
ORI
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2003 |
NOV
0 - 0
HER
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
HER
0 - 0
GRA
53%
26%
21%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
HOS
0 - 1
HER
54%
24%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2002 |
HER
1 - 0
SAB
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |