Valencia de Leogane vs Baltimore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
22.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia de Leogane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
CAZ
3 - 0
VAL
81%
14%
5%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2013 |
CSH
4 - 2
VAL
78%
15%
7%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
RAC
3 - 0
VAL
51%
27%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
VAL
4 - 0
PET
42%
29%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ASM
2 - 0
VAL
38%
31%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Baltimore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
BAL
1 - 0
AIG
41%
31%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
BAL
0 - 0
RAC
34%
32%
35%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
PET
0 - 0
BAL
53%
28%
19%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
BAL
0 - 0
ASM
38%
32%
30%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
BAL
0 - 1
VAL
39%
31%
30%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |