Valencia vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
8.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2001 |
MLL
2 - 2
VCF
43%
27%
31%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2001 |
VCF
0 - 1
RMA
46%
24%
30%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2001 |
VCF
0 - 1
FCB
49%
23%
28%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2001 |
DEP
2 - 0
VCF
45%
26%
29%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2001 |
VCF
1 - 0
RAC
76%
15%
9%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2001 |
NUM
0 - 0
VAD
45%
27%
28%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2001 |
OVI
3 - 0
NUM
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2001 |
ALA
0 - 2
NUM
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2001 |
NUM
0 - 2
RAY
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2001 |
ESP
2 - 0
NUM
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |