Valence vs USL Dunkerque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
22.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1996 |
PER
1 - 0
VAL
49%
28%
24%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1996 |
VAL
1 - 0
STL
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 1996 |
VAL
0 - 0
AMI
51%
25%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1996 |
CSL
2 - 2
VAL
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1996 |
VAL
1 - 1
ANG
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
USL Dunkerque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1996 |
DUN
0 - 1
NIO
45%
28%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1996 |
RED
0 - 0
DUN
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1996 |
DUN
1 - 2
MAR
9%
24%
67%
|
62 | 87 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1996 |
POI
3 - 0
DUN
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1996 |
DUN
0 - 1
ASN
36%
30%
34%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |