Valdinievole Montecatini vs Follonica Gavorrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
28.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valdinievole Montecatini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
VMO
1 - 1
SAV
41%
26%
34%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
VMO
2 - 2
GHI
62%
20%
18%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
VMO
0 - 1
FEZ
76%
15%
10%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
USR
1 - 0
VMO
30%
25%
45%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
VMO
1 - 0
GHI
68%
20%
12%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
GAV
2 - 0
SES
73%
17%
10%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
FEZ
1 - 3
GAV
22%
22%
56%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
GAV
0 - 0
GRO
24%
24%
52%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
GHI
0 - 3
GAV
36%
23%
41%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
GAV
3 - 1
ARG
64%
19%
18%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |