V-Varen Nagasaki vs Tokushima Vortis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
35.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
VVA
1 - 3
AVI
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
MAC
1 - 1
VVA
26%
27%
47%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
MAT
2 - 2
VVA
32%
27%
41%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
VVA
0 - 0
JUB
36%
28%
37%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2020 |
VEN
2 - 0
VVA
38%
27%
34%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Tokushima Vortis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
TOK
1 - 1
MAT
62%
23%
15%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
OMI
1 - 2
TOK
32%
27%
41%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
ALB
0 - 1
TOK
39%
27%
35%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
TOK
1 - 1
ZWE
51%
24%
25%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2020 |
TOC
0 - 1
TOK
21%
27%
53%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |