V-Varen Nagasaki vs Tochigi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
8.4%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
TOK
0 - 3
VVA
22%
25%
54%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
VVA
4 - 1
THE
70%
19%
11%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
VVA
2 - 1
MIT
57%
24%
20%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
VEN
2 - 1
VVA
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
VVA
1 - 1
ALB
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Tochigi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
BLA
1 - 1
TOC
47%
29%
24%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
TOC
0 - 1
JEF
28%
29%
44%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
TOC
1 - 2
MON
24%
28%
47%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
MAC
0 - 0
TOC
55%
26%
19%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
TOC
1 - 1
JUB
12%
23%
65%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |