V-Varen Nagasaki vs Montedio Yamagata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
23.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
VVA
0 - 0
SAG
69%
20%
11%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
VVA
3 - 1
RYK
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
JEF
2 - 0
VVA
33%
26%
40%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
ZWE
0 - 2
VVA
21%
25%
54%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
BLA
1 - 1
VVA
24%
27%
49%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Montedio Yamagata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ALB
1 - 2
MON
47%
27%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
MON
0 - 1
MIT
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
REN
2 - 1
MON
21%
27%
52%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
MON
2 - 2
RYK
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
MON
3 - 1
JEF
56%
25%
19%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |