V-Varen Nagasaki vs Kataller Toyama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
14.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
MON
2 - 0
VVA
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
VVA
1 - 3
GAM
14%
20%
66%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
FAG
1 - 1
VVA
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
VVA
1 - 0
SON
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
YSC
0 - 3
VVA
40%
25%
35%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Kataller Toyama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
KAT
1 - 0
EHI
39%
27%
34%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
MIT
1 - 0
KAT
60%
23%
17%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
GIR
1 - 2
KAT
65%
22%
13%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
KAT
3 - 1
MIT
38%
27%
35%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
GIR
1 - 0
KAT
66%
21%
13%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |