UTC Cajamarca vs Univ. San Martín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
UTC
2 - 1
UNI
38%
28%
35%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
AUR
2 - 0
UTC
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
UTC
1 - 1
AYA
52%
25%
24%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
BOC
1 - 1
UTC
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
SPC
4 - 0
UTC
63%
21%
15%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
SAM
2 - 0
HUA
33%
29%
38%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
BOC
2 - 1
SAM
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
SAM
3 - 1
UNI
30%
27%
42%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
AUR
1 - 3
SAM
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2016 |
SAM
1 - 1
AYA
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |