UTC Cajamarca vs Comerciantes Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2017 |
HUA
2 - 0
UTC
50%
26%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
UTC
2 - 0
MUN
52%
26%
23%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2017 |
AUR
1 - 2
UTC
31%
28%
41%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
ALI
0 - 0
UTC
30%
27%
43%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
UTC
1 - 0
UNI
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Comerciantes Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
COM
0 - 1
SRP
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
SPC
2 - 2
COM
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2017 |
COM
4 - 0
AYA
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
COM
0 - 0
ALI
40%
28%
33%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
GAR
2 - 1
COM
58%
24%
19%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |