USV Hercules vs Dongen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
30%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USV Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
HSC
3 - 4
USV
60%
20%
20%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
USV
2 - 1
ADO
50%
23%
27%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
GEM
2 - 1
USV
64%
19%
18%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
USV
1 - 3
EVV
45%
26%
29%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
LIE
1 - 1
USV
31%
24%
45%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Dongen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
GEM
3 - 2
DON
58%
20%
22%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
DON
4 - 1
LIE
55%
22%
23%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
GRO
1 - 1
DON
71%
18%
11%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
DON
0 - 1
HSC
40%
23%
37%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
DON
1 - 2
EXC
44%
24%
33%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |