Casatese vs Desenzano Calvina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
20.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 1
CAL
72%
16%
13%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
SER
2 - 1
CAS
36%
26%
39%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 1
USB
72%
16%
12%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
TRI
0 - 1
CAS
23%
21%
56%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 0
CAR
79%
13%
8%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Desenzano Calvina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
NIB
2 - 3
DES
54%
21%
25%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
DES
0 - 1
CAL
50%
22%
28%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
DES
3 - 2
VIL
64%
19%
17%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 0
DES
30%
22%
48%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
DES
3 - 3
SER
51%
22%
27%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |