Triestina vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
38.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
ABN
0 - 0
TRI
60%
22%
19%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
TRI
0 - 1
REN
29%
28%
44%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
MES
2 - 1
TRI
44%
24%
32%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
TRI
1 - 1
FCS
40%
27%
33%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
RAV
1 - 5
TRI
44%
26%
30%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +3 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
FER
0 - 1
BV5
32%
27%
41%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
TER
0 - 0
FER
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 5
FER
46%
26%
28%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
FER
2 - 0
SSS
20%
24%
57%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
FER
1 - 0
MES
38%
26%
36%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |