Serie B Round 14

Sassuolo vs Novara analysis

Sassuolo Novara
78 ELO 72
-9.9% Tilt -6.2%
65º General ELO ranking 2355º
14º Country ELO ranking 80º
ELO win probability
52.3%
Sassuolo
25.8%
Draw
21.9%
Novara

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
Sassuolo
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
21.9%
Win probability
Novara
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sassuolo
-4%
-10%
Novara

ELO progression

Sassuolo
Novara
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sassuolo
Sassuolo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Nov. 2012
VER
Hellas Verona
1 - 0
Sassuolo
SAS
39%
28%
34%
78 75 3 0
30 Oct. 2012
TER
Ternana Calcio
1 - 3
Sassuolo
SAS
24%
28%
48%
78 65 13 0
26 Oct. 2012
SAS
Sassuolo
1 - 0
Juve Stabia
JUS
60%
24%
16%
77 69 8 +1
20 Oct. 2012
CTT
Cittadella
1 - 0
Sassuolo
SAS
26%
28%
46%
78 65 13 -1
14 Oct. 2012
SAS
Sassuolo
4 - 0
Varese
VAR
51%
26%
23%
77 73 4 +1

Matches

Novara
Novara
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Nov. 2012
NOV
Novara
0 - 1
Cittadella
CTT
62%
22%
16%
73 67 6 0
30 Oct. 2012
ASC
Ascoli
2 - 0
Novara
NOV
39%
27%
33%
74 68 6 -1
27 Oct. 2012
NOV
Novara
1 - 1
Varese
VAR
55%
24%
21%
74 72 2 0
19 Oct. 2012
CRO
Crotone
2 - 1
Novara
NOV
39%
27%
34%
74 68 6 0
13 Oct. 2012
NOV
Novara
4 - 2
Brescia
BRE
57%
24%
19%
74 70 4 0