Sassuolo vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
11.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sassuolo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
PAV
1 - 2
SAS
32%
27%
42%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
SAS
1 - 1
CTT
67%
21%
13%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
USI
0 - 0
SAS
18%
25%
57%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
SAS
0 - 0
PIS
76%
17%
7%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
NOV
1 - 2
SAS
22%
26%
53%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
GRO
0 - 0
ASL
55%
26%
20%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
ASL
2 - 0
PRO
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
PIS
1 - 0
ASL
42%
30%
29%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
ASL
2 - 0
ACS
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
CTT
0 - 2
ASL
50%
28%
23%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |