National 3 Hauts-de-France Round 24

US Maubeuge vs Valenciennes II analysis

US Maubeuge Valenciennes II
33 ELO 36
-13.9% Tilt -11.5%
27435º General ELO ranking 8465º
634º Country ELO ranking 285º
ELO win probability
30.3%
US Maubeuge
24.9%
Draw
44.9%
Valenciennes II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.3%
Win probability
US Maubeuge
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
44.9%
Win probability
Valenciennes II
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

US Maubeuge
Their league position
Valenciennes II
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
13º
10º
47
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Feignies
57
60
100%
Lens II
47
50
85.5%
Valenciennes II
47
47
85.5%
Olympique Marcquois
44
45
100%
Iris Club de Croix
40
43
73.5%
Vimy
10º
36
39
33%
Lille II
37
37
25%
Chantilly
37
37
29.5%
Compiègne
36
37
6.5%
US Maubeuge
37
37
10º
20.5%
Amiens SC II
11º
29
30
11º
100%
Amiens AC
12º
19
19
12º
39%
ES Lambres
13º
18
19
13º
39%
Longueau
14º
12
12
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
US Maubeuge
Valenciennes II
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
79.5% 100%
Relegation
20.5% 0%

ELO progression

US Maubeuge
Valenciennes II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

US Maubeuge
US Maubeuge
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 May. 2023
VIM
Vimy
1 - 0
US Maubeuge
USM
42%
23%
35%
32 30 2 0
22 Apr. 2023
USM
US Maubeuge
3 - 1
Amiens AC
AAC
58%
23%
19%
31 27 4 +1
15 Apr. 2023
COM
Compiègne
3 - 1
US Maubeuge
USM
35%
25%
40%
33 28 5 -2
01 Apr. 2023
USM
US Maubeuge
0 - 2
Longueau
LON
78%
14%
8%
34 19 15 -1
25 Mar. 2023
USM
US Maubeuge
0 - 0
Iris Club de Croix
IRI
34%
25%
42%
34 39 5 0

Matches

Valenciennes II
Valenciennes II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 May. 2023
VAL
Valenciennes II
1 - 2
Iris Club de Croix
IRI
52%
23%
25%
38 37 1 0
22 Apr. 2023
LEN
Lens II
0 - 1
Valenciennes II
VAL
69%
19%
13%
37 44 7 +1
15 Apr. 2023
VAL
Valenciennes II
1 - 2
ES Lambres
ESL
75%
15%
10%
38 24 14 -1
02 Apr. 2023
AMI
Amiens SC II
1 - 2
Valenciennes II
VAL
40%
24%
36%
38 33 5 0
25 Mar. 2023
VAL
Valenciennes II
2 - 1
Lille II
LIL
45%
24%
32%
37 37 0 +1