Itala S. Marco vs Giorgione analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itala S. Marco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
SAR
1 - 1
ITA
22%
24%
54%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ITA
0 - 2
TAM
42%
26%
33%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
LEG
3 - 0
ITA
55%
22%
23%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
ITA
2 - 1
POR
56%
22%
22%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
ITA
0 - 1
LEO
47%
25%
28%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Giorgione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
GIO
3 - 2
SAN
27%
24%
49%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
BEL
0 - 0
GIO
70%
18%
12%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
GIO
1 - 1
ACM
39%
25%
36%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CON
2 - 1
GIO
59%
21%
20%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |