Grosseto vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
23.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grosseto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
VIC
0 - 1
GRO
38%
28%
34%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
GRO
0 - 3
TOR
38%
28%
34%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
ASC
0 - 2
GRO
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
CRO
2 - 2
GRO
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
GRO
0 - 1
SAM
30%
28%
42%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
CTT
1 - 2
PES
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
MOD
3 - 0
CTT
40%
27%
32%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
NOC
0 - 1
CTT
30%
27%
43%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
CTT
0 - 2
BRE
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
VIC
1 - 4
CTT
37%
29%
34%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |