Cremonese vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
22%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
USC
1 - 1
SAL
42%
27%
32%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
PAL
1 - 1
USC
72%
19%
9%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
USC
0 - 4
USF
36%
25%
39%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
PRG
1 - 0
USC
64%
22%
14%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
USC
0 - 1
ACD
50%
26%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2018 |
ASC
0 - 1
PAR
33%
27%
40%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
USF
3 - 0
ASC
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
ASC
2 - 0
CAR
36%
30%
34%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
ASC
1 - 0
BAR
34%
27%
39%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
SPE
1 - 1
ASC
58%
25%
17%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |