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Serie D. Group D, Matchday 18

Corticella Bagnolese
21 ELO 54
-28% Tilt -14%
5008º General ELO ranking 755º
213º Country ELO ranking 36º
ELO win probability
24.2%
Corticella
30%
Draw
45.8%
Bagnolese

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
Corticella
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.7%
30%
Draw
0-0
13.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
45.8%
Win probability
Bagnolese
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.5%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Corticella
Their league position
Bagnolese
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
11º
18º
18º
36
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Aglianese
70
74
49%
Fiorenzuola
69
73
53%
Lentigione
61
64
100%
Rimini
51
54
95%
Forli
48
50
23%
Prato
48
51
28%
Pro Livorno
48
52
21%
Correggese
44
48
83%
Real Forte Querceta
43
45
63%
Sammaurese
10º
41
44
10º
56%
Mezzolara
11º
38
41
11º
31%
Bagnolese
12º
36
40
12º
63%
Seravezza
13º
36
38
14º
28%
Progresso
14º
36
39
13º
25%
Ghivizzano Borgo
15º
35
37
15º
51%
Sasso Marconi
16º
30
32
16º
68%
Marignanese
17º
28
31
17º
64%
Corticella
18º
20
21
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Corticella
Bagnolese
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 91%
Relegation playoffs
0% 9%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Bagnolese
BAG
Corticella
COR
Aglianese
ACA
Prato
ACP
Seravezza
SER
Forli
FOR
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Corticella
Corticella
1%
X%
2%
ELO COR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Apr. 2021
COR
Corticella
4 - 2
Mezzolara
MEZ
47%
27%
26%
277 197 80 0
07 Feb. 2021
PRO
Pro Livorno
1 - 0
Corticella
COR
47%
27%
26%
278 304 26 -1
03 Feb. 2021
COR
Corticella
1 - 1
Sasso Marconi
ASD
47%
27%
26%
278 246 32 0
31 Jan. 2021
USR
Real Forte Querceta
0 - 0
Corticella
COR
46%
27%
27%
278 263 -15 0
24 Jan. 2021
COR
Corticella
0 - 1
Lentigione
LEN
46%
27%
27%
280 299 -19 -1

Matches

Bagnolese
Bagnolese
1%
X%
2%
ELO BAG ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Mar. 2021
FOR
Forli
2 - 1
Bagnolese
BAG
30%
26%
44%
1118 224 -894 0
07 Feb. 2021
BAG
Bagnolese
1 - 1
Seravezza
SER
63%
21%
16%
1119 313 806 -1
03 Feb. 2021
MAR
Marignanese
1 - 2
Bagnolese
BAG
29%
27%
44%
1118 285 -833 +1
31 Jan. 2021
ACP
Prato
2 - 1
Bagnolese
BAG
29%
27%
44%
1121 311 -810 -2
24 Jan. 2021
BAG
Bagnolese
1 - 1
Rimini
RIM
63%
21%
16%
1121 397 724 -1