Avellino vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
10%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
9.6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
VIR
1 - 2
AVE
37%
27%
37%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
AVE
0 - 0
ESP
19%
25%
56%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2015 |
BOL
2 - 3
AVE
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2015 |
AVE
0 - 1
BOL
39%
28%
34%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2015 |
SPE
1 - 2
AVE
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 0
LEC
69%
20%
11%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
SAL
1 - 1
CAS
70%
19%
11%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
CAS
4 - 1
FCS
65%
21%
14%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
VIG
1 - 2
CAS
26%
28%
46%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 3
CAS
33%
27%
40%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |