US Alessandria vs Bassano Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
28%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
29.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
USA
1 - 1
PIA
59%
24%
17%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ABN
1 - 3
USA
15%
25%
60%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
USC
2 - 1
USA
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
USA
1 - 1
ACL
64%
22%
14%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2016 |
USC
2 - 1
USA
33%
28%
39%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Bassano Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
BV5
2 - 0
GER
56%
25%
19%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CUN
2 - 2
BV5
20%
27%
53%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
BV5
2 - 0
FCS
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ABN
0 - 0
BV5
18%
23%
60%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
BV5
1 - 2
FER
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |